Tuesday, December 22, 2020

UK normalized death rates per NUTS3 region

nut name week last histo_median rel_delta pop_2015 pop_2019
UKI54 Enfield 49 721.8 557.1 1.296 326590 338201
UKI73 Ealing 49 693.1 543.4 1.276 343615 344837
UKI72 Brent 49 641.4 508.2 1.262 321774 331616
UKI41 Hackney and Newham 49 464.1 369.7 1.255 598021 638859
UKI53 Redbridge and Waltham Forest 49 636.0 517.5 1.229 565113 587575
UKD73 Sefton 49 1394.2 1145.6 1.217 274007 275562
UKI45 Lambeth 49 517.9 425.6 1.217 318673 328244
UKE31 Barnsley, Doncaster and Rotherham 49 1191.7 981.2 1.215 804450 820943
UKG32 Solihull 49 1108.1 916.3 1.209 210526 215055
UKI74 Harrow and Hillingdon 49 725.1 603.5 1.202 539688 559903
UKG37 Sandwell 49 1048.7 880.8 1.191 317692 328774
UKI62 Croydon 49 746.9 628.0 1.189 378588 389473
UKI43 Haringey and Islington 49 517.0 434.8 1.189 490781 516586
UKD72 Liverpool 49 1044.3 879.4 1.188 477721 496784
UKM94 South Ayrshire 49 1503.6 1267.1 1.187 112459 112461
UKD12 East Cumbria 49 1254.8 1059.3 1.185 264363 265465
UKG31 Birmingham 49 851.3 719.1 1.184 1107271 1148862
UKE41 Bradford 49 956.4 808.5 1.183 528708 536986
UKM78 West Lothian 49 978.0 827.5 1.182 177873 183025
UKG36 Dudley 49 1117.0 945.6 1.181 315995 320320
UKI71 Barnet 49 701.0 593.6 1.181 376287 395839
UKI33 Kensington & Chelsea and Hammersmith & Fulham 49 594.9 503.8 1.181 340132 339909
UKD47 Chorley and West Lancashire 49 1157.3 982.6 1.178 224437 231151
UKD37 Greater Manchester North East 49 1059.7 900.4 1.177 630322 645740
UKD11 West Cumbria 49 1278.1 1088.6 1.174 234182 232618
UKL15 Central Valleys 49 1211.1 1032.3 1.173 296258 299239
UKD36 Greater Manchester North West 49 1078.6 919.4 1.173 602967 612383
UKG39 Wolverhampton 49 1144.0 975.8 1.172 254185 262242
UKM95 South Lanarkshire 49 1242.0 1060.1 1.172 315764 319317
UKC14 Durham CC 49 1194.4 1019.7 1.171 518463 527035
UKD33 Manchester 49 723.2 617.4 1.171 524322 553230
UKC13 Darlington 49 1216.7 1039.2 1.171 105948 106522
UKI44 Lewisham and Southwark 49 533.5 455.9 1.170 598287 627380
UKD41 Blackburn with Darwen 49 966.7 826.5 1.170 147613 148753
UKC23 Sunderland 49 1211.6 1036.1 1.169 276818 277733
UKM81 East Dunbartonshire, West Dunbartonshire and H... 49 1212.0 1039.6 1.166 222551 223516
UKG24 Staffordshire CC 49 1106.9 949.9 1.165 861000 874190
UKH21 Luton 49 768.2 661.7 1.161 211884 218045
UKF11 Derby 49 1004.5 865.7 1.160 253087 258746
UKG38 Walsall 49 1079.8 931.6 1.159 274882 283663
UKD46 East Lancashire 49 1115.1 962.7 1.158 326389 330381
UKD35 Greater Manchester South East 49 1097.5 947.8 1.158 508359 517992
UKJ26 East Surrey 49 1006.0 868.8 1.158 394088 404293
UKM83 Inverclyde, East Renfrewshire and Renfrewshire 49 1250.1 1083.5 1.154 346759 351257
UKD45 Mid Lancashire 49 1123.6 974.1 1.154 385295 391144
UKC12 South Teesside 49 1205.1 1047.4 1.151 274379 276988
UKG13 Warwickshire 49 1079.8 938.6 1.150 553824 568167
UKF21 Leicester 49 805.3 700.5 1.150 341221 357394
UKJ43 Kent Thames Gateway 49 961.4 836.8 1.149 349687 366135
UKJ11 Berkshire 49 761.8 663.2 1.149 889996 915157
UKD34 Greater Manchester South West 49 961.7 837.3 1.149 476004 492658
UKD74 Wirral 49 1272.0 1108.2 1.148 321591 323266
UKH32 Thurrock 49 811.4 707.6 1.147 164930 173405
UKI75 Hounslow and Richmond upon Thames 49 649.8 566.7 1.147 458937 471248
UKF24 West Northamptonshire 49 900.5 785.4 1.147 387940 403687
UKG23 Stoke-on-Trent 49 1094.8 955.6 1.146 251339 256127
UKF13 South and West Derbyshire 49 1085.0 947.9 1.145 500273 510300
UKL16 Gwent Valleys 49 1151.2 1005.9 1.144 341334 343280
UKE45 Wakefield 49 1108.9 970.4 1.143 332873 343932
UKH25 Central Bedfordshire 49 827.5 724.3 1.142 270124 285931
UKI52 Barking & Dagenham and Havering 49 857.0 750.5 1.142 448569 476061
UKK14 Swindon 49 854.3 748.8 1.141 216769 222517
UKJ25 West Surrey 49 903.6 793.1 1.139 774131 791570
UKF22 Leicestershire CC and Rutland 49 985.1 865.6 1.138 708320 736439
UKG21 Telford and Wrekin 49 951.3 838.9 1.134 170740 177450
UKI32 Westminster 49 504.9 445.4 1.134 233979 253137
UKI34 Wandsworth 49 510.0 449.9 1.134 318010 327451
UKG12 Worcestershire 49 1114.4 983.1 1.134 577538 592158
UKI63 Merton, Kingston upon Thames and Sutton 49 707.4 624.8 1.132 574213 592763
UKF25 North Northamptonshire 49 982.8 869.2 1.131 329826 346244
UKM82 Glasgow City 49 1107.6 979.9 1.130 604115 627479
UKJ28 West Sussex (North East) 49 925.7 819.7 1.129 391057 405631
UKM84 North Lanarkshire 49 1159.1 1026.7 1.129 337013 339746
UKM76 Falkirk 49 1174.9 1042.6 1.127 158077 161029
UKE32 Sheffield 49 937.5 832.0 1.127 566367 584028
UKI31 Camden and City of London 49 482.2 428.1 1.126 246322 270016
UKF14 Nottingham 49 774.8 688.5 1.125 316650 331297
UKD71 East Merseyside 49 1125.6 1000.5 1.125 450854 457712
UKE44 Calderdale and Kirklees 49 977.9 870.0 1.124 638869 651117
UKE11 Kingston upon Hull, City of 49 1040.4 925.9 1.124 258020 261149
UKG33 Coventry 49 834.2 742.9 1.123 339665 369461
UKH24 Bedford 49 934.0 832.4 1.122 165210 173237
UKL23 Flintshire and Wrexham 49 1079.5 962.9 1.121 289654 293370
UKL17 Bridgend and Neath Port Talbot 49 1214.6 1086.1 1.118 282487 286272
UKD61 Warrington 49 1001.8 897.2 1.117 207228 210829
UKC22 Tyneside 49 1076.2 964.4 1.116 842164 858694
UKD62 Cheshire East 49 1117.4 1001.8 1.115 375148 380694
UKD63 Cheshire West and Chester 49 1082.9 971.4 1.115 333095 339824
UKJ41 Medway 49 853.3 765.8 1.114 274197 280894
UKJ12 Milton Keynes 49 711.5 638.8 1.114 261708 271677
UKF15 North Nottinghamshire 49 1107.2 994.7 1.113 462183 475079
UKN06 Belfast 49 978.6 879.4 1.113 337895 341506
UKE12 East Riding of Yorkshire 49 1229.9 1105.8 1.112 336982 339625
UKE22 North Yorkshire CC 49 1119.5 1009.5 1.109 605332 613819
UKJ37 North Hampshire 49 800.8 722.4 1.108 363093 368897
UKD42 Blackpool 49 1416.3 1277.8 1.108 140537 139098
UKK15 Wiltshire CC 49 1004.3 906.8 1.108 486505 500865
UKN09 Ards and North Down 49 1034.9 934.6 1.107 158378 160975
UKC11 Hartlepool and Stockton-on-Tees 49 1066.7 963.5 1.107 287333 290998
UKJ35 South Hampshire 49 1021.4 923.9 1.106 451107 460523
UKH37 Essex Thames Gateway 49 1022.6 925.2 1.105 355362 364848
UKI42 Tower Hamlets 49 374.9 339.3 1.105 289198 319821
UKH23 Hertfordshire 49 881.1 797.5 1.105 1159721 1194634
UKJ45 Mid Kent 49 938.1 849.3 1.105 286360 300082
UKJ14 Oxfordshire 49 850.8 771.2 1.103 671491 687466
UKE42 Leeds 49 900.2 817.1 1.102 769294 792525
UKH35 West Essex 49 951.3 863.7 1.101 298469 308522
UKJ13 Buckinghamshire CC 49 854.3 776.6 1.100 524010 543128
UKK13 Gloucestershire 49 1038.6 944.6 1.100 614691 635249
UKM91 Scottish Borders 49 1161.2 1058.7 1.097 114027 115230
UKH16 North and West Norfolk 49 1319.8 1203.7 1.096 253785 257538
UKG22 Shropshire CC 49 1166.1 1064.1 1.096 311521 319189
UKL18 Swansea 49 1139.6 1040.2 1.096 241683 246217
UKN08 Newry, Mourne and Down 49 788.1 720.6 1.094 175902 180825
UKM71 Angus and Dundee City 49 1210.7 1110.6 1.090 264979 265465
UKJ46 West Kent 49 912.8 838.9 1.088 359652 369178
UKF30 Lincolnshire 49 1162.9 1071.1 1.086 734643 756920
UKM63 Lochaber, Skye & Lochalsh, Arran & Cumbrae and... 49 1298.8 1196.9 1.085 100078 100012
UKH14 Suffolk 49 1080.9 996.6 1.085 745096 760472
UKN07 Armagh City, Banbridge and Craigavon 49 771.7 711.9 1.084 206782 215246
UKM77 Perth & Kinross and Stirling 49 1102.6 1017.5 1.084 241610 246780
UKJ36 Central Hampshire 49 1065.9 983.9 1.083 539086 551640
UKJ44 East Kent 49 1179.9 1089.3 1.083 520451 538428
UKM92 Dumfries & Galloway 49 1318.6 1217.5 1.083 149812 148871
UKJ34 Isle of Wight 49 1319.9 1219.0 1.083 139535 141606
UKM65 Orkney Islands 49 1061.0 980.4 1.082 21624 22055
UKL24 Powys 49 1251.4 1156.9 1.082 132740 132093
UKL21 Monmouthshire and Newport 49 1053.5 975.3 1.080 240223 244891
UKH36 Heart of Essex 49 954.7 883.9 1.080 311084 319145
UKE13 North and North East Lincolnshire 49 1101.0 1021.2 1.078 329556 331871
UKH12 Cambridgeshire CC 49 862.2 799.8 1.078 638360 653412
UKM75 Edinburgh, City of 49 877.3 814.3 1.077 495714 520483
UKF12 East Derbyshire 49 1184.7 1099.9 1.077 281502 285393
UKG11 Herefordshire, County of 49 1148.2 1067.5 1.076 188142 192214
UKI51 Bexley and Greenwich 49 732.0 681.0 1.075 512901 538801
UKE21 York 49 912.3 849.5 1.074 204716 210235
UKM93 East Ayrshire and North Ayrshire mainland 49 1259.8 1173.3 1.074 252445 251307
UKM73 East Lothian and Midlothian 49 1020.0 950.6 1.073 189376 197947
UKF16 South Nottinghamshire 49 1027.0 959.0 1.071 341736 349566
UKL22 Cardiff and Vale of Glamorgan 49 860.9 805.1 1.069 484140 497646
UKK23 Somerset 49 1126.6 1054.4 1.068 544315 560631
UKC21 Northumberland 49 1171.4 1097.7 1.067 316661 319010
UKD44 Lancaster and Wyre 49 1210.8 1136.2 1.066 249547 254791
UKJ27 West Sussex (South West) 49 1288.8 1213.6 1.062 443417 457549
UKK12 Bath and North East Somerset, North Somerset a... 49 955.7 900.1 1.062 664313 690838
UKL11 Isle of Anglesey 49 1218.7 1148.9 1.061 70039 70073
UKI61 Bromley 49 812.5 766.5 1.060 323432 334536
UKH15 Norwich and East Norfolk 49 1045.8 987.1 1.059 361984 370822
UKM62 Inverness & Nairn and Moray, Badenoch & Strath... 49 1036.8 982.8 1.055 202069 204193
UKL13 Conwy and Denbighshire 49 1302.0 1237.6 1.052 211277 212675
UKH31 Southend-on-Sea 49 1097.3 1045.8 1.049 178810 183453
UKH17 Breckland and South Norfolk 49 1105.8 1057.3 1.046 265258 277633
UKJ22 East Sussex CC 49 1192.9 1141.5 1.045 542765 558626
UKJ32 Southampton 49 751.3 719.4 1.044 244091 254361
UKL14 South West Wales 49 1171.1 1121.7 1.044 383585 386480
UKM72 Clackmannanshire and Fife 49 1089.7 1045.0 1.043 418935 423970
UKM50 Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire 49 920.1 885.6 1.039 490875 495365
UKH11 Peterborough 49 801.3 772.5 1.037 192081 201799
UKH34 Essex Haven Gateway 49 1084.4 1048.3 1.034 474327 492514
UKM64 Na h-Eileanan Siar (Western Isles) 49 1292.7 1255.2 1.030 27158 26688
UKK41 Plymouth 49 946.1 925.3 1.023 260961 264135
UKK42 Torbay 49 1308.3 1283.9 1.019 133523 136051
UKL12 Gwynedd 49 1097.9 1080.2 1.016 122283 124147
UKK11 Bristol, City of 49 722.1 710.5 1.016 447241 467099
UKK30 Cornwall and Isles of Scilly 49 1094.9 1081.1 1.013 550437 568612
UKM61 Caithness & Sutherland and Ross & Cromarty 49 1126.2 1121.0 1.005 93746 94917
UKJ21 Brighton and Hove 49 725.6 722.7 1.004 282362 292169
UKK43 Devon CC 49 1086.5 1099.0 0.989 768497 795012
UKM66 Shetland Islands 49 847.6 868.0 0.976 23214 23125
UKJ31 Portsmouth 49 763.8 792.0 0.964 209287 216023
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Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Change in Normalized Excess Deaths

Death rates (deaths from all causes) per 100k population. Population and mortality data from Eurostat. The big difference to HMD, ourworldindata etc is that we include "unallocated" deaths (this doesn't change the rankings however, as can be seen when comparing to the exclude unallocated tab). Most countries are not able to exactly date all their deaths, and those deaths end up in the unallocated bucket. The methodology we use to portion out the unallocated deaths is to first distribute an integer number of deaths to each week and then to portion out the residual deaths randomly to weeks that year (the probability of being assigned to a week is determined by how big that week's share was of the total allocated deaths for that year). Note the long reporting lag for Italy. "histo_median" is the median annual number of deaths per 100k population between the years 2015-2019 (so we divide the number of deaths each year by the population for that region in January of that year). The last data point for the population data is Jan-2019, so the figures for 2020 will be slightly off (but at least they're off in the same way for all countries). The table is sorted by descending relative delta, ie. the last normalized death figure divided by the historical median (so a large delta means that the death rate this year is high relative to the historical data, presumably mostly due to covid-19 deaths). If the week column says eg. 49, that means that we calculate all the historical data up to that week as well (ie. we won't include 50, 51 or 52). If a year has a week 53, we count that as unallocated (ie. it will be taken into account as per the methodology described above).
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Saturday, December 12, 2020

time home bet spread country
199 14:15 ilves-pa -1@1.39 -1.729 finland
201 14:30 Brentford 2@1.31 1.058 england
200 14:30 Fulham 1@1.14 -0.332 england
202 14:30 Schalke 04 3@1.26 1.864 germany
203 14:45 Paksi 1@1.14 -0.317 hungary
242 15:00 StGallen 1@1.16 -0.210 switzerland
231 15:00 Maritimo 1@1.25 0.073 portugal
220 15:00 Dakkada Fc 0@1.26 -0.940 nigeria
217 15:00 Kwara Fc 0@1.23 -1.034 nigeria
219 15:00 enugu-ran 0@1.27 -0.872 nigeria
221 15:00 Warri Wolves 0@1.22 -1.090 nigeria
216 15:00 Heartland Fc 1@1.15 -0.252 nigeria
218 15:00 Abia Warriors 0@1.30 -0.804 nigeria
215 15:00 Eleven Wonders 0@1.24 -1.016 ghana
207 15:00 Zulte Waregem 1@1.23 0.021 belgium
209 15:00 Plzen -1@1.35 -1.807 czech-republic
211 15:00 Dreams 0@1.36 -0.667 ghana
213 15:00 Ebusua 1@1.15 -0.250 ghana
210 15:00 Middlesbrough 1@1.17 -0.162 england
232 15:00 Logrones 1@1.40 0.348 spain
241 15:00 vaduz-yo 2@1.41 1.352 switzerland
214 15:00 Elmina Sharks 0@1.46 -0.525 ghana
212 15:00 medeama-intern 0@1.21 -1.119 ghana
245 15:15 Elche 3@1.20 1.605 spain
244 15:15 Giannina 0@1.45 -0.534 greece
243 15:15 Panetolikos 1@1.15 -0.254 greece
256 15:45 Feyenoord 1@1.20 -0.078 netherlands
277 16:00 Besiktas 0@1.22 -1.069 turkey
265 16:00 Livingston 1@1.16 -0.230 scotland
259 16:00 LASK 0@1.15 -1.396 austria
276 16:00 Gaziantep 1@1.25 0.064 turkey
260 16:00 Rennes 1@1.27 0.098 france
278 16:05 Istra 1@1.25 0.066 croatia
280 16:15 AL Hilal 0@1.26 -0.933 sudan
283 17:00 Man United 1@1.19 -0.118 england
286 17:00 Yehuda Hapoel 1@1.15 -0.254 israel
287 17:00 Lazio 0@1.31 -0.775 italy
284 17:00 Hoffenheim 1 0@1.39 -0.630 germany
285 17:00 Honved 1@1.14 -0.294 hungary
292 17:15 Castellon 1@1.35 0.269 spain
293 17:30 Sparta Praha 0@1.16 -1.316 czech-republic
296 17:30 Moreirense 1@1.25 0.064 portugal
299 18:00 Asante Kotoko 0@1.38 -0.640 ghana
306 18:45 AE Altos 1@1.23 0.016 brazil
310 19:00 Vila Nova 1@1.28 0.132 brazil
313 19:00 Athletico Pr 2@1.23 0.822 brazil
312 19:00 Santos 2@1.40 1.314 brazil
314 19:00 Ceara 1@1.18 -0.139 brazil
315 19:00 Internacional 1@1.21 -0.042 brazil
319 19:30 Las Palmas 1@1.32 0.213 spain
321 19:45 Parma 1@1.30 0.168 italy
320 19:45 Leuven 2@1.19 0.683 belgium
323 20:00 LA Serena 1@1.16 -0.224 chile
326 20:00 Everton 0@1.13 -1.466 england
329 20:00 Atletico|Ath Madrid 0@1.18 -1.261 spain
322 20:00 Luverdense 2@1.25 0.899 brazil
327 20:00 Saint-Etienne 2@1.29 1.011 france
330 20:15 famalicao-vit 1@1.31 0.185 portugal
337 21:15 Santos 0@1.22 -1.100 brazil
335 21:15 sport-rec 1@1.25 0.058 brazil
336 21:15 Atletico 1@1.16 -0.216 brazil
339 21:20 Atl Rafaela 1@1.19 -0.102 argentina
344 23:05 Jaguares De 1@1.17 -0.189 colombia
345 23:25 CA Estudiantes 1@1.15 -0.253 argentina
346 23:30 Fluminense 0@1.47 -0.508 brazil
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Wednesday, December 9, 2020

Corona Excess Deaths by Age Group

Data from mortality.org. Countries with a long lag in their numbers have been excluded (eg. Italy). Data as of 10-Dec-2020.
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